Esbjerg II vs Tarup-Paarup: result 3-2 and analysis
Denmark Series - Group 3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on September 10, 2016 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Esbjerg Atletikstadion, Esbjerg
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What was the result of Esbjerg II vs Tarup-Paarup?
Esbjerg II won 3-2 on September 10, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esbjerg II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tarup-Paarup have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2016 | Varde(away) | 0-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 21, 2016 | B 1913(away) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 13, 2016 | SfB-Oure(home) | 3-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 6, 2016 | Højfyn(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Hobro II(home) | 0-2 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2016 | Sønderborg(home) | 4-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Ringkøbing(home) | 2-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 24, 2016 | B 1913(away) | 4-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Varde(away) | 1-1 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
| Aug 13, 2016 | Kolding B(home) | 2-0 | Denmark Series - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Esbjerg II score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tarup-Paarup score 2.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg II | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tarup-Paarup | 2.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esbjerg II sit 2nd in Denmark Series - Group 3 (40 points from 18 matches) and Tarup-Paarup sit 5th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Esbjerg II | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 61 | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Tarup-Paarup | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy