Esbjerg vs Vejle: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
The Footlab model makes Vejle the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Esbjerg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esbjerg vs Vejle?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Esbjerg (1,833) and Vejle (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esbjerg have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vejle have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 2-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hobro(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hvidovre(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bogense(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hillerød(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Esbjerg(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kolding IF(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hillerød(home) | 5-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tarup-Paarup(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | HB Koge(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Esbjerg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Vejle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vejle 4-2 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Esbjerg 3-3 Vejle | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 9, 2021 | Vejle 5-1 Esbjerg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Esbjerg 2-1 Vejle | Superliga |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Vejle 1-0 Esbjerg | Superliga |
| Apr 24, 2018 | Esbjerg 0-1 Vejle | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Esbjerg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vejle score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vejle | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esbjerg sit 9th in 1. Division (4 points from 5 matches) and Vejle sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vejle | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esbjerg vs Vejle?
- The Footlab model makes Vejle the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Esbjerg.
- Where and when is Esbjerg vs Vejle played?
- Esbjerg vs Vejle is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Blue Water Arena, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.