Espanyol II vs Arnedo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque, San Adrián de Besós
The Footlab model makes Espanyol II the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Arnedo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espanyol II vs Arnedo?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Espanyol II (1,890) and Arnedo (1,933).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espanyol II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Arnedo have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 31, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 24, 2026 | Calahorra(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Espanyol II score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arnedo score 2.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol II | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Arnedo | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espanyol II vs Arnedo?
- The Footlab model makes Espanyol II the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Arnedo.
- Where and when is Espanyol II vs Arnedo played?
- Espanyol II vs Arnedo is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.