Esperança d'Andorra vs FC Santa Coloma: prediction and stats
1a DivisióRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes FC Santa Coloma the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Esperança d'Andorra. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Esperança d'Andorra vs FC Santa Coloma?
FC Santa Coloma is a heavy favourite: 1,743 Elo points against 1,184, a 559-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Esperança d'Andorra have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; FC Santa Coloma have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | 1a Divisió |
| May 23, 2026 | Sporting Escaldes(away) | 3-1 | 1a Divisió |
| May 16, 2026 | Ordino(away) | 2-2 | 1a Divisió |
| May 10, 2026 | UE Santa Coloma(home) | 0-3 | 1a Divisió |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 0-4 | 1a Divisió |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 2-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-3 | Copa Constitució |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Esperança d'Andorra win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Santa Coloma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma 4-0 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Esperança d'Andorra 0-2 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 2, 2025 | FC Santa Coloma 0-0 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FC Santa Coloma 4-0 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Jan 19, 2025 | FC Santa Coloma 3-2 Esperança d'Andorra | 1a Divisió |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Esperança d'Andorra 0-2 FC Santa Coloma | 1a Divisió |
Last archived meeting: FC Santa Coloma vs Esperança d'Andorra on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Esperança d'Andorra score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Santa Coloma score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esperança d'Andorra | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Santa Coloma | 1.7 | 1.1 | 9 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Esperança d'Andorra sit 9th in 1a Divisió (11 points from 24 matches) and FC Santa Coloma sit 4th (44 points from 24 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Santa Coloma | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 20 | 44 |
| 9 | Esperança d'Andorra | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 47 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Esperança d'Andorra vs FC Santa Coloma?
- The Footlab model makes FC Santa Coloma the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Esperança d'Andorra.
- Where and when is Esperança d'Andorra vs FC Santa Coloma played?
- Esperança d'Andorra vs FC Santa Coloma is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the 1a Divisió.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.