Espírito Santo vs J. Malucelli: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D16th FinalsKick-off on July 23, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Davino Matos, Guarapari, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Espírito Santo vs J. Malucelli?
J. Malucelli won 0-1 on July 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 82′EltinhoJ. Malucelli
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Espírito Santo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; J. Malucelli have 5, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Caldense(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 9, 2016 | Gremio Osasco Audax(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Boavista SC(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Boavista SC(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Gremio Osasco Audax(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2016 | Novo Hamburgo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 9, 2016 | Madureira(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 3, 2016 | Brusque(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Brusque(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 19, 2016 | Madureira(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Espírito Santo score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 6; J. Malucelli score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espírito Santo | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3 | 1/6 | 0/6 |
| J. Malucelli | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/14 | 7/14 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy