Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Savalou, Savalou
The Footlab model makes Espoir Savalou the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for AS Sobemap. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Espoir Savalou (1,770) and AS Sobemap (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Espoir Savalou have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AS Sobemap have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | AS Cotonou(away) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Hodio(home) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kraké(away) | 2-2 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Buffles(away) | 3-2 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Bani Gansè(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | AS Cotonou(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Dadjè(home) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Loto Popo(away) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | Buffles(home) | 1-0 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Espoir Savalou win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 AS Sobemap win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Espoir Savalou 3-1 AS Sobemap | Championnat National |
| Oct 4, 2025 | AS Sobemap 5-1 Espoir Savalou | Championnat National |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Espoir Savalou 1-1 AS Sobemap | Championnat National |
| Mar 3, 2024 | AS Sobemap 1-1 Espoir Savalou | Championnat National |
Last archived meeting: Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Espoir Savalou score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AS Sobemap score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espoir Savalou | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| AS Sobemap | 0.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Espoir Savalou sit 7th in Championnat National (48 points from 33 matches) and AS Sobemap sit 1st (67 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Sobemap | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 67 |
| 7 | Espoir Savalou | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap?
- The Footlab model makes Espoir Savalou the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for AS Sobemap.
- Where and when is Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap played?
- Espoir Savalou vs AS Sobemap is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Savalou, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.