Estac Troyes vs Valenciennes: result 0-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on August 11, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
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What was the result of Estac Troyes vs Valenciennes?
Valenciennes won 0-1 on August 11, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estac Troyes have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Valenciennes have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2012 | Amiens(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2012 | Monaco(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 4, 2012 | Lens(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2012 | Arles(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2012 | Boulogne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2012 | Caen(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2012 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 6, 2012 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 1 |
| May 2, 2012 | Lyon(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2012 | Nice(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estac Troyes score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Estac Troyes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy