Estonia vs Malta: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague D - 5Kick-off on September 23, 2022 at 04:00 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Malta?
Estonia won 2-1 on September 23, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 45′R. SappinenEstonia (pen.)
- 51′T. TeumaMalta (pen.)
- 86′H. AnierEstonia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Malta have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2022 | Albania(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Malta(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Argentina(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2022 | San Marino(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Cyprus(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2022 | San Marino(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2022 | Estonia(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | San Marino(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Venezuela(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Kuwait(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Estonia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Malta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2022 | Malta 1-2 Estonia | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Malta 0-3 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malta score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 0.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Malta | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy