Estonia vs Wales: result 0-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Full time
What was the result of Estonia vs Wales?
Wales won 0-1 on October 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 12′K. MooreWales
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estonia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Wales have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2021 | Belarus(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Wales(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Northern Ireland(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 2, 2021 | Belgium(home) | 2-5 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 10, 2021 | Latvia(home) | 2-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2021 | Czechia(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Estonia(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Belarus(away) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 1, 2021 | Finland(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Denmark(home) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Estonia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Wales win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2021 | Wales 0-0 Estonia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
How many goals should we expect?
Estonia score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1.1 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wales | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estonia sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (4 points from 8 matches) and Wales sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy