Estoril vs Estrela: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 11, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs Estrela?
Estoril and Estrela drew 1-1 on August 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′Tiago Parreira ParenteEstoril
- 75′I. StoicaEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Estrela have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Sporting CP B(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Alverca(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Marítimo(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2025 | Estrela(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2025 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | AVS(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| May 5, 2025 | Rio Ave(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 26, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Estoril win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Estoril 4-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Estrela 2-4 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Estrela 2-1 Estoril | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Estoril 1-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Estrela 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 0.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Estrela | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 14th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and Estrela sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy