Estoril vs FC Porto: result 1-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 28, 2012 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
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What was the result of Estoril vs FC Porto?
FC Porto won 1-2 on October 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 9′S. VitóriaEstoril
- 56′Silvestre VarelaFC Porto
- 60′J. MartínezFC Porto
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; FC Porto have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2012 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Guimaraes(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2012 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Sporting CP(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Beira-Mar(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; FC Porto score 2.4 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 5/6 |
| FC Porto | 2.4 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril sit 15th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 3 matches) and FC Porto sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy