Estoril vs U. Madeira: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2015 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Full time
What was the result of Estoril vs U. Madeira?
Estoril won 2-1 on September 27, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 40′Léo BonatiniEstoril
- 74′Bruno CésarEstoril
- 78′E. FaríasU. Madeira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; U. Madeira have 1, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2015 | Tondela(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 12, 2015 | SC Braga(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Moreirense(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2015 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2015 | Moreirense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 31, 2015 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 23, 2015 | Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2015 | Maritimo(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; U. Madeira score 0.4 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| U. Madeira | 0.4 | 0.4 | 3 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy