Estrela do Norte vs Itaporã: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Itaporã?
Estrela do Norte won 3-1 on August 30, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 8′Paulo Gomes de MatosEstrela do Norte
- 17′TiaguinhoItaporã
- 46′Ronaldo Rosa dos SantosEstrela do Norte
- 90′Laio Azeredo dos SantosEstrela do Norte
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Itaporã have 2, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2014 | Villa Nova(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Itaporã(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Villa Nova(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 2, 2014 | Anapolina(home) | 4-3 | Serie D |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Brasiliense(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2014 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Estrela do Norte(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Brasiliense(away) | 0-4 | Serie D |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Villa Nova(away) | 3-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Anapolina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Estrela do Norte wins, 0 draws, 1 Itaporã win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2014 | Itaporã 1-0 Estrela do Norte | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Itaporã vs Estrela do Norte on Aug 17, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 5; Itaporã score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Itaporã | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy