Estrela do Norte vs Linhares: result 2-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 6Kick-off on February 20, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Linhares?
Estrela do Norte won 2-1 on February 20, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Linhares have 0, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Real Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 3, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Brasiliense(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-3 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Serra Talhada(away) | 0-3 | Capixaba |
| Feb 8, 2020 | São Mateus(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Itapemirim(away) | 1-3 | Capixaba |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 1-3 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 12; Linhares score 0.6 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/12 | 7/12 |
| Linhares | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy