Estrela do Norte vs São Mateus: result 4-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 8Kick-off on March 9, 2020 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs São Mateus?
Estrela do Norte won 4-1 on March 9, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; São Mateus have 3, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | Itapemirim(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Linhares(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Serra Talhada(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Itapemirim(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Linhares(away) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; São Mateus score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| São Mateus | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3 | 2/7 | 0/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy