Estrela do Norte vs Villa Nova: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 9, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Villa Nova?
Estrela do Norte and Villa Nova drew 1-1 on August 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 10′Wesley SoeiroEstrela do Norte
- 60′Ulisses OliveiraVilla Nova
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Villa Nova have 2, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2014 | Anapolina(home) | 4-3 | Serie D |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Brasiliense(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2014 | Itaporã(home) | 2-3 | Serie D |
| Jul 27, 2014 | Anapolina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Brasiliense(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Santo André(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Juventude(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 2.0 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 2; Villa Nova score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Villa Nova | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1 | 7/11 | 6/11 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy