Estrela II vs Moncarapachense: result 0-1 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 4Kick-off on September 15, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Alfredo Marques Augusto
Full time
What was the result of Estrela II vs Moncarapachense?
Moncarapachense won 0-1 on September 15, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 68′TavinhoMoncarapachense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Estrela II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Moncarapachense have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Estrela Vendas Novas(away) | 4-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Fabril Barreiro(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2024 | O Grandolense(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Sintrense(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Louletano(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Comércio Indústria(home) | 5-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Jun 1, 2024 | União Santarém(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela II score 2.0 and concede 0.0 goals per match over their last 2; Moncarapachense score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela II | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
| Moncarapachense | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela II sit 7th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (30 points from 26 matches) and Moncarapachense sit 4th (51 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Estrela II | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy