Estrela Vendas Novas vs Fabril Barreiro: result 1-4 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 23Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Vendas Novas, Vendas Novas
Full time
What was the result of Estrela Vendas Novas vs Fabril Barreiro?
Fabril Barreiro won 1-4 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′Fredwilson Cleiton Almeida MendonçaFabril Barreiro
- 19′Fredwilson Cleiton Almeida MendonçaFabril Barreiro
- 32′Mamade FernandesFabril Barreiro
- 61′João Manuel Pinheiro CarrascoEstrela Vendas Novas
- 79′CadinhoFabril Barreiro (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela Vendas Novas have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Fabril Barreiro have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Operário(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Lusitano Évora 1911(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 23, 2025 | FC Serpa(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Moura(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Amora(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Barreirense(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Operário(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lusitano Évora 1911(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FC Serpa(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Moura(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Estrela Vendas Novas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fabril Barreiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Fabril Barreiro 3-1 Estrela Vendas Novas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
Last archived meeting: Fabril Barreiro vs Estrela Vendas Novas on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela Vendas Novas score 0.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fabril Barreiro score 0.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Vendas Novas | 0.4 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Fabril Barreiro | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela Vendas Novas sit 14th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (5 points from 26 matches) and Fabril Barreiro sit 10th (27 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fabril Barreiro | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 27 |
| 14 | Estrela Vendas Novas | 26 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 66 | 5 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy