Estrela vs Benfica: result 1-4 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 29, 2024 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Benfica?
Benfica won 1-4 on January 29, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 28′Léo JabáEstrela
- 44′Arthur CabralBenfica
- 45′RafaBenfica
- 52′N. OtamendiBenfica
- 90′Marcos LeonardoBenfica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | Guimaraes(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Vizela(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Arouca(home) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Farense(away) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | Estoril(home) | 1-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Boavista(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 10, 2024 | SC Braga(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Arouca(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Estrela win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Benfica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Benfica 2-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Estrela 2-3 Benfica | Taça da Liga |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Estrela 0-4 Benfica | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 2.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Benfica | 2.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Benfica sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy