Estrela vs Estoril: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 25, 2023 at 07:15 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Estoril?
Estrela won 2-1 on August 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 47′Ronaldo TavaresEstrela
- 67′João MarquesEstoril
- 90′Léo CordeiroEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Estoril have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Benfica(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Guimaraes(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 5, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | AS Roma(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2023 | FC Porto(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Arouca(away) | 3-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 5-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-0 | Taça da Liga |
| Jul 19, 2023 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Estoril | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy