Estrela vs Estoril: result 2-4 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 5, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Estoril?
Estoril won 2-4 on January 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′XekaEstoril
- 25′Y. BegraouiEstoril
- 31′Tiago GabrielEstoril (o.g.)
- 57′André LuizEstrela
- 70′Rodrigo PinhoEstrela
- 76′Alejandro MarquésEstoril
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Estoril have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | AVS(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 16, 2024 | FC Porto(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 9, 2024 | Arouca(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Farense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | Moreirense(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Benfica(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Casa Pia(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 6, 2024 | SC Braga(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Famalicao(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Estrela win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Estoril win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2024 | Estrela 2-1 Estoril | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Estoril 1-0 Estrela | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Estrela 2-1 Estoril | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estoril score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Estoril | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Estoril sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy