Estrela vs Famalicao: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 29, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Famalicao?
Estrela won 1-0 on October 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 74′André LuizEstrela
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Famalicao have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Vila Meã(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2023 | SC Braga(home) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Chaves(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 15, 2023 | FC Porto(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Boavista(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Arouca(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Farense(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Famalicao score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Famalicao | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Famalicao sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy