Estrela vs Maritimo: result 2-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRelegation RoundKick-off on June 3, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Maritimo?
Estrela won 2-1 on June 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′R. N'doEstrela
- 80′Jean FelipeEstrela
- 87′Cláudio WinckMaritimo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Maritimo have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2023 | Penafiel(away) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 21, 2023 | Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Trofense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Moreirense(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 28, 2023 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2023 | Estoril(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| May 19, 2023 | Vizela(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| May 13, 2023 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| May 7, 2023 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maritimo score 1.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Maritimo | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Maritimo sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maritimo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy