Estrela vs Moreirense: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora
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What was the result of Estrela vs Moreirense?
Moreirense won 0-1 on November 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 90′André LuísMoreirense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Moreirense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Vila Meã(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 28, 2023 | SC Braga(home) | 2-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Guimaraes(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Arouca(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paredes(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Boavista(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Rio Ave(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Estrela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Moreirense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2023 | Estrela 2-4 Moreirense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 31, 2022 | Moreirense 0-0 Estrela | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Moreirense 4-2 Estrela | Taça da Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Moreirense score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Moreirense | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estrela sit 11th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Moreirense sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy