Estrella Roja vs UA Aragua: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on October 15, 2011 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional Brígido Iriarte, Caracas
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What was the result of Estrella Roja vs UA Aragua?
UA Aragua won 0-1 on October 15, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Estrella Roja have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; UA Aragua have 2, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2011 | Atletico Venezuela(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Caracas FC B(away) | 0-6 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Gran Valencia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Arroceros Calabozo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | Caracas FC B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Atletico Venezuela(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Deportivo Lara II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Gran Valencia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Arroceros Calabozo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella Roja score 0.8 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 5; UA Aragua score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella Roja | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0 | 3/5 | 5/5 |
| UA Aragua | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 15, 2011Deportivo Lara II0-1Atletico Venezuela
- Oct 15, 2011Deportivo Anzoátegui II1-1Fundación Cesarger
- Oct 16, 2011Arroceros Calabozo0-3Gran Valencia
- Oct 16, 2011Real Bolívar FC0-2Lara FC
- Oct 16, 2011Atletico Socopo FC1-2Deportivo San Antonio
- Oct 16, 2011Portuguesa1-1Caracas FC B
- Oct 16, 2011Deportivo Táchira II0-1Lotería del Táchira
- Oct 16, 2011Angostura FC0-1Monagas II