Estrella Roja vs UA Aragua: result 0-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónApertura - 7Kick-off on October 15, 2011 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional Brígido Iriarte, Caracas
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What was the result of Estrella Roja vs UA Aragua?
UA Aragua won 0-1 on October 15, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Estrella Roja have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats; UA Aragua have 2, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2011 | Atletico Venezuela(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Portuguesa(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Caracas FC B(away) | 0-6 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Gran Valencia(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Arroceros Calabozo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | Caracas FC B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Atletico Venezuela(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2011 | Deportivo Lara II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Gran Valencia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Arroceros Calabozo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Estrella Roja score 0.8 and concede 3.2 goals per match over their last 5; UA Aragua score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrella Roja | 0.8 | 3.2 | 0 | 3/5 | 5/5 |
| UA Aragua | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 15, 2011Deportivo Lara II0-1Atletico Venezuela
- Oct 15, 2011Deportivo Anzoátegui II1-1Fundación Cesarger
- Oct 16, 2011Arroceros Calabozo0-3Gran Valencia
- Oct 16, 2011Real Bolívar FC0-2Lara FC
- Oct 16, 2011Atletico Socopo FC1-2Deportivo San Antonio
- Oct 16, 2011Portuguesa1-1Caracas FC B
- Oct 16, 2011Deportivo Táchira II0-1Lotería del Táchira
- Oct 16, 2011Angostura FC0-1Monagas II