Estudiantes Caracas vs Union Atl. Falcon: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónHexagonal Final - 3Kick-off on November 11, 2017 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Giuseppe Antonelli
Full time
What was the result of Estudiantes Caracas vs Union Atl. Falcon?
Estudiantes Caracas won 2-1 on November 11, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes Caracas have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Union Atl. Falcon have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2017 | Llaneros de Guanare(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Atletico el Vigia FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Petrolero de Anzoategui(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2017 | Diamantes de Guayana(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2017 | Tucanes FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2017 | UCV(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 28, 2017 | Lala FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Gran Valencia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Puerto Cabello(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Petare FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Estudiantes Caracas score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Atl. Falcon score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Caracas | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Union Atl. Falcon | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy