Match

Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia: prediction and stats

Super CopaFinalKick-off on November 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Estudiantes L.P.Independ. Rivadavia

The Footlab AI model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Independ. Rivadavia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estudiantes L.P. wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

On Elo ratings, Estudiantes L.P. has 1,933 points and Independ. Rivadavia 1,991.

55%23%22%
Estudiantes L.P. winDrawIndepend. Rivadavia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1
  1. 19A. Gaich
  1. 21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
  2. 10T. Palacios
  3. 17J. Burgos
  4. 22A. Castro
  5. 32J. Correa
  1. 40E. Mancuso
  2. 13G. Benedetti
  3. 14L. González
  4. 5M. Rojo
  1. 16F. Muslera

Independ. Rivadavia

4-4-2
  1. 9A. Arce
  2. 43F. Sartori
  1. 25J. Florentín
  2. 5T. Bottari
  3. 11G. Ríos
  4. 8L. Bucca
  1. 3J. Elordi
  2. 13A. Osella
  3. 40I. Villalba
  4. 2L. Costa
  1. 30Nicolás Bolcato

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estudiantes L.P. have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Independ. Rivadavia have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Estudiantes L.P.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Talleres Cordoba(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 1, 2026Instituto Cordoba(home)3-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 26, 2026Union Santa Fe(away)1-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 23, 2026Flamengo(away)0-0CONMEBOL Libertadores
Oct 18, 2026San Lorenzo(home)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Independ. Rivadavia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Gimnasia M.(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 3, 2026Banfield(home)3-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 27, 2026Argentinos JRS(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 17, 2026Tigre(home)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 11, 2026Rosario Central(away)0-5Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Estudiantes L.P. win, 2 draws, 0 Independ. Rivadavia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2025Estudiantes L.P. 2-1 Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
Feb 8, 2025Independ. Rivadavia 2-2 Estudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 31, 2024Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Independ. RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia on Aug 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Estudiantes L.P. score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independ. Rivadavia score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Estudiantes L.P.1.11.349/158/15
Independ. Rivadavia1.31.539/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia?
The Footlab AI model makes Estudiantes L.P. the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Independ. Rivadavia.
Where and when is Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia played?
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independ. Rivadavia is played on November 12, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Único Diego Armando Maradona, in the Super Copa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.