Etincelles vs Al Merreikh: result 1-2 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 17, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
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What was the result of Etincelles vs Al Merreikh?
Al Merreikh won 1-2 on December 17, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 1 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats; Al Merreikh have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Musanze(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 1-4 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | APR(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Amagaju(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Amagaju(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Marines(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Rutsiro(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gorilla(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Merreikh score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Merreikh | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 13th in National Soccer League (37 points from 34 matches) and Al Merreikh sit 3rd (59 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41 | 24 | 59 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy