Etincelles vs Al Merreikh: result 1-2 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 17, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
Full time
What was the result of Etincelles vs Al Merreikh?
Al Merreikh won 1-2 on December 17, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 1 win, 9 draws and 5 defeats; Al Merreikh have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Musanze(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 1-4 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 2, 2025 | APR(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Amagaju(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Amagaju(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Marines(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AS Kigali(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Rutsiro(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Gorilla(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Merreikh score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Al Merreikh | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 16th in National Soccer League (7 points from 7 matches) and Al Merreikh sit 17th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Merreikh | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
A question about Etincelles vs Al Merreikh?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy