Etincelles vs Police: result 1-0 and analysis
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 17, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
Full time
What was the result of Etincelles vs Police?
Etincelles won 1-0 on September 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 15′?Etincelles
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Police have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Marines(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Amagaju(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Gorilla(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 28, 2023 | Rwamagana City(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 21, 2023 | Bugesera(home) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | APR(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Sunrise(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 28, 2023 | Marines(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 20, 2023 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Etincelles win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Police win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2023 | Etincelles 1-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Oct 21, 2022 | Police 2-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Etincelles 1-0 Police | National Soccer League |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Police 3-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2021 | Etincelles 1-1 Police | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2021 | Police 5-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Police | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 13th in National Soccer League (37 points from 34 matches) and Police sit 6th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 52 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy