Etincelles vs Rayon Sports: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etincelles vs Rayon Sports?
Rayon Sports starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etincelles have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Rayon Sports have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marines(away) | 3-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Gasogi United(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 7, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-4 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 3-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KVZ(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Etincelles win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Rayon Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Etincelles 1-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Rayon Sports 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Etincelles 1-2 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Rayon Sports 1-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Rayon Sports 1-3 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Etincelles 1-1 Rayon Sports | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Rayon Sports on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Etincelles score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rayon Sports score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etincelles | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Rayon Sports | 1.4 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etincelles sit 13th in National Soccer League (37 points from 34 matches) and Rayon Sports sit 4th (56 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rayon Sports | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 30 | 56 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32 | 40 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etincelles vs Rayon Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Rayon Sports the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Etincelles vs Rayon Sports played?
- Etincelles vs Rayon Sports is played on March 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Umuganda, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.