Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau vs Moulien: result 1-0 and analysis
Division d'HonneurRegular Season - 1Kick-off on January 12, 2012 at 12:30 AM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau vs Moulien?
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau won 1-0 on January 12, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau have 5 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Moulien have 4, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | Stade Lamentinois(away) | 1-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Phare du Canal(away) | 0-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 11, 2011 | AJS Saintoise(home) | 2-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Gosier(away) | 0-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Etoile du Carmel(home) | 3-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2012 | Gosier(home) | 2-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Etoile du Carmel(away) | 0-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Club Amical(home) | 1-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 4, 2011 | USR Sainte-Rose(away) | 2-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Evolucas Lamentin(home) | 0-2 | Division d'Honneur |
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 9; Moulien score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 4/9 | 3/9 |
| Moulien | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4 | 3/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau sit 6th in Division d'Honneur (58 points from 24 matches) and Moulien sit 1st (73 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moulien | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 24 | 73 |
| 6 | Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 29 | 58 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy