Etoile du Carmel vs Vieux-Habitants: result 1-0 and analysis
Division d'HonneurRegular Season - 12Kick-off on January 22, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
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What was the result of Etoile du Carmel vs Vieux-Habitants?
Etoile du Carmel won 1-0 on January 22, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Etoile du Carmel have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Vieux-Habitants have 2, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2012 | Club Amical(away) | 1-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Jan 12, 2012 | Siroco Les Abymes(home) | 0-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Jan 8, 2012 | Juventus Sainte-Anne(away) | 0-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Moulien(home) | 0-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 8, 2011 | Racing Club(away) | 0-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2012 | Phare du Canal(home) | 1-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Jan 8, 2012 | Club Amical(home) | 0-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 18, 2011 | USR Sainte-Rose(away) | 1-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Evolucas Lamentin(home) | 1-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Stade Lamentinois(home) | 0-0 | Division d'Honneur |
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile du Carmel score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 11; Vieux-Habitants score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile du Carmel | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/11 | 5/11 |
| Vieux-Habitants | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 6/11 | 3/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy