Evian TG vs Valenciennes: result 2-1 and analysis
Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 3, 2011 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Sports, Annecy
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What was the result of Evian TG vs Valenciennes?
Evian TG won 2-1 on December 3, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 26′O. SorlinEvian TG
- 33′Cédric BarbosaEvian TG
- 85′Gaël DanicValenciennes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evian TG have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Valenciennes have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Rennes(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Lorient(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Auxerre(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Sochaux(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Toulouse(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 20, 2011 | Auxerre(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2011 | Rennes(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Lille(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Evian TG score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Valenciennes score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evian TG | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Valenciennes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy