Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueMatchday 26Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for KAA Gent II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Virton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 153-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Virton
4-1-4-1- 11A. Hachem
- 8G. Arib
- 13A. Dembélé
- 10P. Wade
- 22S. Assengue
- 19I. Goudani
- 3A. Tchaptchet
- 4E. Kari
- 6M. Guillaume
- 18J. Ntenda
- 1C. De Schrevel
KAA Gent II
4-2-3-1- 63J. Umolu
- 67O. Soroka
- 77G. Vanderdonck
- 28M. El Âdfaoui
- 79R. Vydysh
- 78D. Mukuna
- 64N. Laghmich
- 76Victor Vandenbroucke
- 35G. De Meyer
- 18M. Samoise
- 31B. Evers
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Virton have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; KAA Gent II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Seraing United(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Genk(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 3-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 3-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 2-2 | Challenger Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Excelsior Virton win, 0 draws, 1 KAA Gent II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Excelsior Virton 2-0 KAA Gent II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 14, 2023 | KAA Gent II 5-0 Excelsior Virton | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Virton score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; KAA Gent II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Virton | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| KAA Gent II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Virton sit 8th in Challenger Pro League (13 points from 9 matches) and KAA Gent II sit 9th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Excelsior Virton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | KAA Gent II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
A question about Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for KAA Gent II.
- Where and when is Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II played?
- Excelsior Virton vs KAA Gent II is played on April 3, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Yvan Georges, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.