Excursionistas vs El Porvenir: result 4-1 and analysis
Primera CRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 2, 2017 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Excursionistas, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
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What was the result of Excursionistas vs El Porvenir?
Excursionistas won 4-1 on December 2, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excursionistas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; El Porvenir have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2017 | Lujan(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Nov 19, 2017 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Ituzaingó(away) | 3-1 | Primera C |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Central Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Defensores Unidos(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2017 | Canuelas(home) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Nov 20, 2017 | Berazategui(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Sportivo Barracas(away) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Lujan(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Sportivo Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Excursionistas win, 0 draws, 3 El Porvenir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | El Porvenir 1-0 Excursionistas | Primera C |
| Aug 27, 2012 | Excursionistas 1-2 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Apr 30, 2012 | Excursionistas 4-1 El Porvenir | Primera C |
| Nov 20, 2011 | El Porvenir 1-0 Excursionistas | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: El Porvenir vs Excursionistas on Feb 16, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Excursionistas score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; El Porvenir score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excursionistas | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| El Porvenir | 0.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | El Porvenir | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 40 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 1, 2017Deportivo Laferrere2-0Defensores Unidos
- Dec 1, 2017Deportivo Armenio0-0Sportivo Italiano
- Dec 1, 2017Dock Sud0-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Dec 1, 2017San Martín Burzaco1-2Central Cordoba
- Dec 2, 2017Leandro N. Alem1-1Midland
- Dec 2, 2017Canuelas0-0Berazategui
- Dec 2, 2017Argentino Quilmes0-1Sportivo Barracas
- Dec 2, 2017JJ Urquiza2-2Ituzaingó