Match

Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza: result 4-0 and analysis

Primera CRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 9, 2011 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Excursionistas, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Excursionistas
4-0
UAI Urquiza

Full time

What was the result of Excursionistas vs UAI Urquiza?

Excursionistas won 4-0 on December 9, 2011.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excursionistas have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; UAI Urquiza have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Excursionistas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 4, 2011Villa Dalmine(away)1-2Primera C
Nov 25, 2011Berazategui(home)3-2Primera C
Nov 20, 2011El Porvenir(away)0-1Primera C
Nov 12, 2011Central Cordoba(home)1-1Primera C
Nov 4, 2011Dock Sud(away)0-2Primera C
UAI Urquiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 4, 2011Liniers(home)3-1Primera C
Nov 28, 2011Midland(away)0-0Primera C
Nov 20, 2011Deportivo Laferrere(home)2-0Primera C
Nov 13, 2011Deportivo Español(away)2-0Primera C
Nov 5, 2011Leandro N. Alem(home)1-1Primera C

How many goals should we expect?

Excursionistas score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; UAI Urquiza score 1.3 and concede 0.6.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Excursionistas0.81.047/154/15
UAI Urquiza1.30.668/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

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