Express vs Mbarara City: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 5, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of Express vs Mbarara City?
Express won 4-1 on November 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′Abdulahi KawawaExpress
- 27′R. BasangwaExpress
- 46′M. K. SsenogaExpress
- 67′M. K. SsenogaExpress
- 71′Gabriel EraguMbarara City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Express have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mbarara City have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2025 | KCCA(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | URA(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Police(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | UPDF(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | NEC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kitara(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2025 | BUL(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | UPDF(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Police(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Express win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Mbarara City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2025 | Mbarara City 2-0 Express | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Express 3-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Mbarara City 3-1 Express | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Express 0-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Mbarara City 0-0 Express | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2021 | Express 2-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Mbarara City vs Express on May 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Express score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mbarara City score 0.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Express | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Mbarara City | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Express sit 10th in Premier League (37 points from 30 matches) and Mbarara City sit 12th (27 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Express | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 37 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy