Express vs UPDF: result 1-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 11, 2023 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Betway Muteesa II Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Express vs UPDF?
Express and UPDF drew 1-1 on February 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 74′Allan KayiwaExpress
- 89′?UPDF
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Express have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; UPDF have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | Blacks Power(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Maroons(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Vipers(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2022 | KCCA(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Arua Hill(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | Onduparaka(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Gaddafi(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2022 | SC Villa(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2022 | URA(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Blacks Power(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Express win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 UPDF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | UPDF 1-1 Express | Premier League |
| May 14, 2022 | Express 0-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Express | Premier League |
| May 15, 2021 | Express 1-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2021 | UPDF 1-0 Express | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2018 | Express 2-0 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Express score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 0.8 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Express | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| UPDF | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Express sit 10th in Premier League (37 points from 30 matches) and UPDF sit 14th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Express | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 37 |
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy