Falcon vs Estanciano: result 4-1 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 7Kick-off on February 28, 2023 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
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What was the result of Falcon vs Estanciano?
Falcon won 4-1 on February 28, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′Théo MaiaFalcon
- 39′Daniel MachadoEstanciano (pen.)
- 45′Neto OliveiraFalcon
- 61′Neto OliveiraFalcon
- 66′SorrisoFalcon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falcon have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Estanciano have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | Volta Redonda(home) | 1-3 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 16, 2023 | América SE(home) | 0-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 11, 2023 | AO Itabaiana(away) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Atlético Gloriense(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Dorense(home) | 3-0 | Sergipano |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | Dorense(away) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Atlético Gloriense(home) | 1-0 | Sergipano |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Confiança(away) | 0-2 | Sergipano |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Lagarto(home) | 1-4 | Sergipano |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Sergipe(home) | 0-1 | Sergipano |
How many goals should we expect?
Falcon score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estanciano score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcon | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Estanciano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy