Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Făleşti, Făleşti
The Footlab model makes Făleşti the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Victoria Bardar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Făleşti (1,123) and Victoria Bardar (1,165).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Făleşti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Victoria Bardar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC National Ialoveni(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Oguzsport(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Victoria Bardar(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Spartanii Selemet(away) | 0-3 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Oguzsport(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Stăuceni(home) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Făleşti(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oguzsport(home) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 6, 2026 | FCM Ungheni(away) | 2-4 | Super Liga |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Univer Comrat(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Făleşti win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Victoria Bardar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Făleşti 1-0 Victoria Bardar | Liga 1 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Victoria Bardar 1-2 Făleşti | Liga 1 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Făleşti 1-2 Victoria Bardar | Cupa |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Făleşti 0-4 Victoria Bardar | Super Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Victoria Bardar 5-1 Făleşti | Super Liga |
| May 14, 2023 | Victoria Bardar 6-2 Făleşti | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Făleşti score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Bardar score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Făleşti | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Victoria Bardar | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Făleşti sit 2nd in Liga 1 (7 points from 3 matches) and Victoria Bardar sit 4th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Făleşti | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Victoria Bardar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar?
- The Footlab model makes Făleşti the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Victoria Bardar.
- Where and when is Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar played?
- Făleşti vs Victoria Bardar is played on October 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Făleşti, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.