Falkirk vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk
The Footlab AI model makes Falkirk the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Falkirk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
On Elo ratings, Falkirk has 1,840 points and ST Mirren 1,812.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Falkirk vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Falkirk
4-2-3-1- 24J. Murrell
- 23E. Ross
- 16Finley Frank Barbrook
- 8B. Spencer
- 28B. Krauhaus
- 42Owen Eames
- 5L. Henderson
- 22R. Strain
- 3L. McCann
- 15L. Neilson
- 19S. Bain
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Falkirk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ST Mirren have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Johnstone(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Falkirk wins, 0 draws, 3 ST Mirren wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkirk 0-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Falkirk 1-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-2 Falkirk | Premiership |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Falkirk 1-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Falkirk 1-0 ST Mirren | Championship |
| Apr 17, 2018 | ST Mirren 1-2 Falkirk | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Falkirk score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Falkirk sit 11th in Premiership (6 points from 8 matches) and ST Mirren sit 7th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Falkirk vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Falkirk the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Falkirk vs ST Mirren played?
- Falkirk vs ST Mirren is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Falkirk Community Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.