Match

Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23: prediction and stats

Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Algarve, Almancil

Farense U23Penafiel U23

The Footlab AI model makes Farense U23 the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Penafiel U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Farense U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Farense U23 (1,678) and Penafiel U23 (1,669).

42%27%31%
Farense U23 winDrawPenafiel U23 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Farense U23

Not enough data to predict the Farense U23 lineup.

Penafiel U23

Not enough data to predict the Penafiel U23 lineup.

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense U23 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Penafiel U23 have 2, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farense U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Academico Viseu U23(home)2-3Liga Revelação U23
Oct 20, 2026Estrela U23(away)1-1Liga Revelação U23
Oct 13, 2026União Leiria U23(home)1-2Liga Revelação U23
Sep 21, 2026Vizela U23(away)0-2Liga Revelação U23
Sep 15, 2026Leixões U23(home)1-1Liga Revelação U23
Penafiel U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Famalicão U23(home)2-1Liga Revelação U23
Oct 27, 2026Vizela U23(home)2-3Liga Revelação U23
Oct 20, 2026Academico Viseu U23(away)0-0Liga Revelação U23
Oct 13, 2026Benfica U23(home)3-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 29, 2026Rio Ave U23(away)0-1Liga Revelação U23

How many goals should we expect?

Farense U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farense U231.51.5112/158/15
Penafiel U231.51.518/116/11

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farense U23 sit 13th in Liga Revelação U23 (12 points from 10 matches) and Penafiel U23 sit 12th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Penafiel U2311263161612
13Farense U2310334151712

A question about Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23?
The Footlab AI model makes Farense U23 the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Penafiel U23.
Where and when is Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23 played?
Farense U23 vs Penafiel U23 is played on December 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Algarve, in the Liga Revelação U23.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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