Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 33Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, Fatsa
The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Karabük İdman Yurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Fatsa Belediyespor (1,547) and Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fatsa Belediyespor have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 5-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karabük İdman Yurdu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor 2-3 Karabük İdman Yurdu | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Karabük İdman Yurdu 0-1 Fatsa Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatsa Belediyespor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Karabük İdman Yurdu | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu?
- The Footlab model makes Fatsa Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Karabük İdman Yurdu.
- Where and when is Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu played?
- Fatsa Belediyespor vs Karabük İdman Yurdu is played on April 18, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fatsa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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