FC Aarau vs FC Luzern: result 1-2 and analysis
Schweizer CupSemi-finalsKick-off on May 4, 2021 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Full time
What was the result of FC Aarau vs FC Luzern?
FC Luzern won 1-2 on May 4, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 4′I. NdiayeFC Luzern
- 9′Mickaël AlmeidaFC Aarau
- 74′V. TasarFC Luzern
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Aarau have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC Luzern have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | Grasshoppers(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 23, 2021 | FC Winterthur(away) | 3-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 20, 2021 | FC WIL 1900(away) | 0-7 | Challenge League |
| Apr 16, 2021 | FC Chiasso(home) | 3-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | FC Vaduz(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Apr 25, 2021 | FC Zurich(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Lausanne(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2021 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 13, 2021 | FC Lugano(away) | 2-1 | Schweizer Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Aarau score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Luzern score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Aarau | 1.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Luzern | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy