Match

FC Halifax Town vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Shay Stadium, Halifax, West Yorkshire

FC Halifax TownStoke City U21

The Footlab model makes FC Halifax Town the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Halifax Town vs Stoke City U21?

FC Halifax Town starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,638).

FC Halifax Town win64 %
Draw19 %
Stoke City U21 win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Halifax Town have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Halifax Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tamworth(home)4-1National League
Aug 18, 2026Derby County U21(home)6-2National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Boreham Wood(home)1-3National League
Aug 8, 2026Forest Green(away)2-3National League
Aug 1, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Stoke City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brentford U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe(away)0-4National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Leeds United U21(home)0-0Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026Chester(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Tamworth(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

FC Halifax Town score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Halifax Town2.32.3312/1512/15
Stoke City U210.92.638/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Halifax Town vs Stoke City U21?
The Footlab model makes FC Halifax Town the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is FC Halifax Town vs Stoke City U21 played?
FC Halifax Town vs Stoke City U21 is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Shay Stadium, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Halifax Town and Stoke City U21

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