FC Lugano vs HJK Helsinki: result 3-0 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on October 3, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Lugano vs HJK Helsinki?
FC Lugano won 3-0 on October 3, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 34′A. PapadopoulosFC Lugano
- 56′Martim MarquesFC Lugano
- 90′Daniel Dos SantosFC Lugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lugano have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; HJK Helsinki have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | FC Winterthur(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Sion(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Lausanne(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Rapperswil(away) | 3-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Sep 1, 2024 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ilves(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 20, 2024 | VPS(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | SJK(home) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | VPS(away) | 3-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 29, 2024 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lugano score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; HJK Helsinki score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| HJK Helsinki | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lugano sit 6th in UEFA Europa Conference League (13 points from 6 matches) and HJK Helsinki sit 30th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Lugano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 13 |
| 30 | HJK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy