FC Mariupol vs Arsenal Kyiv: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 22, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Volodymyra Boyka, Mariupol'
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Mariupol have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Arsenal Kyiv have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | Metalurh Donetsk(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Metalist(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2013 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Tavriya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2013 | Tavriya(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2013 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 0-7 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2013 | Sevastopol(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2013 | Hoverla(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 FC Mariupol win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arsenal Kyiv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2013 | Arsenal Kyiv 1-2 FC Mariupol | Premier League |
| Mar 17, 2013 | FC Mariupol 2-1 Arsenal Kyiv | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2012 | Arsenal Kyiv 2-1 FC Mariupol | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2011 | FC Mariupol 0-0 Arsenal Kyiv | Premier League |
| Jul 17, 2011 | Arsenal Kyiv 0-0 FC Mariupol | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Kyiv vs FC Mariupol on Aug 24, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
FC Mariupol score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Kyiv score 0.7 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Mariupol | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Arsenal Kyiv | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy