FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning
The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Nordsjaelland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate FC Midtjylland (2,167) and FC Nordsjaelland (2,076).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; FC Nordsjaelland have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonderjyske(away) | 3-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Midtjylland win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FC Nordsjaelland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | FC Midtjylland 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| Dec 14, 2025 | FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 FC Midtjylland | DBU Pokalen |
| Dec 4, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 5-1 FC Nordsjaelland | DBU Pokalen |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 6-0 FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Midtjylland score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Nordsjaelland score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Midtjylland sit 4th in Superliga (10 points from 4 matches) and FC Nordsjaelland sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Nordsjaelland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Midtjylland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?
- The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for FC Nordsjaelland.
- Where and when is FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland played?
- FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland is played on September 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.