FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC: prediction and stats
SuperligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)MCH Arena, Herning
The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Randers FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
FC Midtjylland starts as the favourite with a 257-point Elo edge (2,168 vs 1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Midtjylland have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Randers FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Rijeka(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lyngby(away) | 1-1 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Bohemians(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bohemians(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AC Horsens(home) | 2-1 | Superliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-4 | Superliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lyngby(home) | 2-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-1 | Superliga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-1 | Superliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Midtjylland win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Randers FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Randers FC 0-2 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Sep 29, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 2-1 Randers FC | Superliga |
| Jul 2, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 2-3 Randers FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 3-2 Randers FC | Superliga |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Randers FC 2-1 FC Midtjylland | Superliga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC Midtjylland 4-2 Randers FC | Superliga |
Last archived meeting: Randers FC vs FC Midtjylland on Nov 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Midtjylland score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Randers FC score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Randers FC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Midtjylland sit 3rd in Superliga (7 points from 3 matches) and Randers FC sit 8th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Midtjylland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Who is out?
10 reported absence(s) for this match.
- Júnior BrumadoFC MidtjyllandOut(Knee Injury)
- Mikel Johan Gogorza Krüger-JohnsenFC MidtjyllandOut(Hip Injury)
- O. DiaoFC MidtjyllandOut(Foot Injury)
- V. Bak JensenFC MidtjyllandOut(Inactive)
- Benjamin ÖrnRanders FCOut(Injury)
- J. BjörkengrenRanders FCOut(Inactive)
- L. LissensRanders FCOut(Injury)
- M. SankohRanders FCOut(Inactive)
- P. IzzoRanders FCDoubtful(Transfer negotiations)
- W. CaddyRanders FCOut(Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Midtjylland the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Randers FC.
- Where and when is FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC played?
- FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC is played on August 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at MCH Arena, in the Superliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.