FC Porto vs Malaga: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions League8th FinalsKick-off on February 19, 2013 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
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What was the result of FC Porto vs Malaga?
FC Porto won 1-0 on February 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 56′João MoutinhoFC Porto
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Malaga have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2013 | Beira-Mar(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 10, 2013 | Olhanense(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Guimaraes(away) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 28, 2013 | GIL Vicente(home) | 5-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 23, 2013 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Levante(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Feb 3, 2013 | Zaragoza(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Jan 27, 2013 | Mallorca(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Jan 19, 2013 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto score 2.3 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Malaga score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.3 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Malaga | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2013Celtic0-3Juventus
- Feb 12, 2013Valencia1-2Paris Saint Germain
- Feb 13, 2013Real Madrid1-1Manchester United
- Feb 13, 2013Shakhtar Donetsk2-2Borussia Dortmund
- Feb 19, 2013Arsenal1-3Bayern München
- Feb 20, 2013AC Milan2-0Barcelona
- Feb 20, 2013Galatasaray1-1FC Schalke 04
- Mar 5, 2013Manchester United1-2Real Madrid